Coronavirus: Christmas socialising poses 'substantial risks' - scientist

Coronavirus: Christmas socialising poses 'substantial risks' - scientist


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Mixing households at Christmas could pose “substantial risks”, particularly for older people more vulnerable to coronavirus, a scientist advising the government has warned.

Prof Andrew Hayward said there would be a “cost” to families getting together.

It comes as No 10 said proposals to ease restrictions over Christmas will be set out next week.

Scientists have said that for every day measures are eased, five days of tighter restrictions would be needed.

Prof Hayward, a professor of infectious disease epidemiology at University College London, said mixing at Christmas does pose “substantial risks” particularly where generations “with high incidence of infection” socialise with older people “who currently have much lower levels of infection and are at most risk of dying” if they catch Covid-19.

Prof Hayward – a member of the government’s Scientific Advisory Group for Emergencies – told BBC Radio 4’s Today programme: “My personal view is we’re putting far too much emphasis on having a near-normal Christmas.

“We know respiratory infections peak in January so throwing fuel on the fire over Christmas can only contribute to this.”

The UK’s four nations – England, Scotland, Wales and Northern Ireland – are trying to work out a common approach to Christmas so families spread across the UK can still meet up.

Downing Street said plans for what will follow England’s lockdown – which is expected to end on 2 December – and proposals to ease restrictions over Christmas would be set out next week.

A No 10 spokesman said on Thursday that ministers would keep case numbers “under review” into next week, when it will “set out more details of the next phase” after lockdown ends.

He pointed to Prime Minister Boris Johnson’s previous comment that “whilst Christmas will be a little bit different from normal this year, we continue to hope to ensure that families can spend Christmas together”.

Any rule change would be for a limited time, maybe just a few days, BBC health correspondent Nick Triggle has said.

But, he said, the advice was likely to urge families not to hold big gatherings and to travel by car, rather than public transport.

England is expected to return to the tier system of localised restrictions, with household mixing banned indoors in the top two tiers, when its lockdown ends.

Defence Secretary Ben Wallace said he did not want to be “the Grinch that stole Christmas” but No 10 wanted to safeguard the NHS and protect lives.

He told ITV’s Good Morning Britain: “I would love all of us to be able to have a Christmas, but more than anything I want us to get through this Covid and try and get this country back to normal and I want to protect lives.”